Geno Smith Rushing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 13

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Geno Smith

NFL · Player Props

Geno Smith

QB · Seattle Seahawks

Rushing Yards

Los Angeles Rams vs Seattle Seahawks · Week 13, 2022

Updated Dec 5, 2022 12:46 AM UTC

Analysis

Geno Smith Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 17.5 (-105/-120).

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Seahawks are a 6.5-point favorite in this week's game, indicating a rushing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the Seattle Seahawks offense to be the 9th-fastest paced team in the NFL (adjusted for context) at the moment, averaging 27.38 seconds per snap.
THE BLITZ projects Geno Smith to total 4.9 carries in this week's game, on average: the 8th-most of all quarterbacks.
THE BLITZ projects Geno Smith to be much more involved in his offense's run game this week (17.7% projected Carry Share) than he has been this year (8.4% in games he has played).
The Seattle Seahawks have faced a stacked the box on just 11.5% of their plays since the start of last season, 4th-least in football. Positioning an extra defender near the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the cost of better passing efficiency.

Favors Under

THE BLITZ projects the Seattle Seahawks as the 9th-least run-oriented offense in football (in a neutral context) at the present time with a 36.4% run rate.
The forecast calls for 3-mph wind in this game. Low wind usually means higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and better passing efficiency.
The Seattle Seahawks offensive line profiles as the 4th-worst in the NFL this year at run-game blocking.
Opposing squads have rushed for the 4th-least yards in the league (just 100 per game) vs. the Los Angeles Rams defense this year.
The Los Angeles Rams safeties grade out as the best collection of safeties in the league this year in regard to run defense.

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