Geno Smith Passing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 9

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Geno Smith

NFL · Player Props

Geno Smith

QB · Seattle Seahawks

Passing Yards

Baltimore Ravens vs Seattle Seahawks · Week 9, 2023

Updated Nov 5, 2023 8:21 PM UTC

Analysis

Geno Smith Passing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 226.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 219.5 @ -114 before it was bet up to 226.5 @ -110.

Key Factors

Favors Over

At a -5.5-point disadvantage, the Seahawks are underdogs in this game, indicating more of an emphasis on passing than their usual approach.
Given their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, our trusted projections expect the Seattle Seahawks to pass on 63.0% of their downs: the 6th-highest rate on the slate this week.
To the extent of a defense's effect on tempo, at 27.60 seconds per play, our trusted projections expect the Seattle Seahawks as the 10th-fastest in the league (adjusted for context) at the present time.
The predictive model expects Geno Smith to throw 37.2 passes in this game, on balance: the 6th-most out of all QBs.
Opposing teams have averaged 40.1 pass attempts per game vs. the Ravens defense this year: 3rd-most in the NFL.

Favors Under

The Baltimore Ravens pass defense has exhibited strong efficiency this year, allowing 6.12 adjusted yards-per-target: the fewest in football.
The Baltimore Ravens defense has excelled when opposing pass-catchers have gotten into space, giving up an average of 4.29 yards-after-the-catch this year: the 4th-fewest in the league.
The Baltimore Ravens safeties grade out as the 2nd-best collection of safeties in football this year in covering receivers.

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