Geno Smith Passing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 13

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Geno Smith

NFL · Player Props

Geno Smith

QB · Seattle Seahawks

Passing Yards

Dallas Cowboys vs Seattle Seahawks · Week 13, 2023

Updated Dec 1, 2023 12:56 AM UTC

Analysis

Geno Smith Passing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 231.5 (-101/-135).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 233.5 @ -117 before it was bet down to 231.5 @ -135.

Key Factors

Favors Over

An extreme passing game script is indicated by the Seahawks being a massive -9.5-point underdog this week.
Based on their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Seattle Seahawks to pass on 66.0% of their downs: the 2nd-greatest rate among all teams this week.
Right now, the 9th-fastest paced offense in football (in a neutral context) according to the projection model is the Seattle Seahawks.
This game will be played in a dome—meaning no wind, increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and better passing efficiency.
The leading projections forecast Geno Smith to attempt 39.0 passes this week, on average: the 2nd-most out of all quarterbacks.

Favors Under

Opposing offenses teams have been hesitant to lean on the pass against the Dallas Cowboys, averaging the 3rd-fewest attempts in the league (a measly 30.5 per game) this year.
Geno Smith's throwing accuracy has tailed off this season, with his Adjusted Completion% decreasing from 69.4% to 66.2%.
This year, the daunting Cowboys defense has surrendered a measly 192.0 adjusted yards per game through the air to opposing offenses: the 4th-fewest in the NFL.
This year, the daunting Dallas Cowboys defense has yielded a feeble 64.1% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing quarterbacks: the 2nd-best rate in the NFL.
When it comes to linebackers in pass coverage, Dallas's group of LBs has been exceptional this year, grading out as the 3rd-best in football.

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