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Geno Smith

Geno Smith Passing Yards
Player Prop Week 12

Seattle Seahawks vs San Francisco 49ers

Geno Smith Passing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 237.5 (+104/-142).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 238.5 @ -117 before it was bet down to 237.5 @ -142.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

An extreme throwing game script is implied by the Seahawks being a heavy -7-point underdog in this game.

Given their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Seahawks to pass on 63.9% of their opportunities: the 5th-highest clip among all teams this week.

Opposing offenses have averaged 39.4 pass attempts per game against the 49ers defense this year: 4th-most in the league.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Based on their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics, the Seattle Seahawks are anticipated by the model to run just 61.5 plays on offense in this game: the fewest on the slate this week.

The Seattle Seahawks have run the 8th-fewest plays in the league this year, totaling a measly 56.0 plays per game.

Geno Smith's passing accuracy has declined this year, with his Adjusted Completion% falling off from 69.4% to 66.2%.

The 49ers pass defense has exhibited strong efficiency this year, allowing 6.74 adjusted yards-per-target: the 4th-fewest in football.

This year, the tough San Francisco 49ers defense has given up the 4th-least yards-after-the-catch in the NFL to opposing offenses: a feeble 4.1 YAC.

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