Geno Smith Passing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 10

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Geno Smith

NFL · Player Props

Geno Smith

QB · Seattle Seahawks

Passing Yards

Seattle Seahawks vs Washington Commanders · Week 10, 2023

Updated Nov 13, 2023 2:46 AM UTC

Analysis

Geno Smith Passing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 261.5 (-120/-110).

Key Factors

Favors Over

At the present time, the 9th-most pass-oriented offense in football (62.9% context-neutralized) according to the projection model is the Seattle Seahawks.
The projections expect this game to have the 5th-highest number of plays run on the slate this week at 130.2 plays, accounting for the approaches of each team and game dynamics.
The Washington Commanders defense has been a well-known pass funnel this year, causing opposing offenses to attempt the 7th-most passes in the league (38.8 per game) this year.
Opposing teams have passed for the 7th-most adjusted yards in the NFL (263.0 per game) versus the Commanders defense this year.
This year, the shaky Commanders defense has given up the 3rd-most adjusted yards-per-target in the league to opposing teams: a monstrous 8.27 yards.

Favors Under

The Seahawks are a 5.5-point favorite in this week's contest, indicating a rushing game script.
The Seahawks have run the 5th-fewest plays in the NFL this year, averaging just 53.8 plays per game.
Geno Smith has thrown for a lot fewer adjusted yards per game (229.0) this season than he did last season (255.0).

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