Geno Smith Passing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 1

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Geno Smith

NFL · Player Props

Geno Smith

QB · Seattle Seahawks

Passing Yards

Seattle Seahawks vs Los Angeles Rams · Week 1, 2023

Updated Sep 10, 2023 11:21 PM EST

Analysis

Geno Smith Passing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 253.5 (-137/+100).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 242.5 @ -117 before it was bet up to 253.5 @ -137.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Seahawks rank as the 8th-most pass-oriented team in the NFL (in a neutral context) since the start of last season with a 63.7% pass rate.
THE BLITZ projects the Seahawks to run the 3rd-most plays on offense on the slate this week with 66.2 plays, given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
Geno Smith has been among the best passers in football since the start of last season, averaging an impressive 256.0 yards per game while ranking in the 81st percentile.
Geno Smith has been among the most on-target passers in football since the start of last season with a stellar 69.4% Completion%, checking in at the 97th percentile.
Geno Smith has been among the most efficient passers in the NFL since the start of last season, averaging a stellar 7.59 yards-per-target while checking in at the 81st percentile.

Favors Under

The Seahawks are a 4.5-point favorite this week, likely creating a rushing game script.

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