Geno Smith Passing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 8

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Geno Smith

NFL · Player Props

Geno Smith

QB · Seattle Seahawks

Passing Yards

Seattle Seahawks vs New York Giants · Week 8, 2022

Updated Oct 30, 2022 8:26 PM EST

Analysis

Geno Smith Passing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 227.5 (+106/-137).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 227.5 @ -135 before it was bet down to 227.5 @ -137.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Geno Smith's passing precision has been refined this season, with his Completion% increasing from 68.8% to 72.0%.
Geno Smith has been among the most effective QBs in the NFL this year, averaging an impressive 7.71 yards-per-target while ranking in the 83rd percentile.
The New York Giants linebackers rank as the 3rd-worst collection of LBs in the league this year in covering pass-catchers.
The New York Giants pass rush has gotten pressure on opposing QBs 2.61 seconds after the snap (on average), grading out as the slowest in the NFL since the start of last season.
The Seattle Seahawks have gone no-huddle on 15.5% of their plays outside the two-minute warning since the start of last season (4th-most in the league). This quickens the pace, resulting in more volume and stat accumulation.

Favors Under

The Seahawks are a 3-point favorite in this week's contest, which points towards a rushing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the Seattle Seahawks as the 9th-least pass-oriented team among all teams this week with a 55.4% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
The Seattle Seahawks have called the 5th-least plays in the league this year, averaging a measly 53.4 plays per game.
THE BLITZ projects Geno Smith to attempt 32.9 passes this week, on average: the 8th-least of all QBs.
Opposing QBs have averaged 34.0 pass attempts per game against the New York Giants defense this year: 9th-least in football.

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