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Geno Smith

Geno Smith Passing Yards
Player Prop Week 5

New Orleans Saints vs Seattle Seahawks

Geno Smith Passing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 241.5 (+102/-134).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 241.5 @ -121 before it was bet down to 241.5 @ -134.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Seahawks are a 5.5-point underdog in this week's contest, indicating a passing game script.

THE BLITZ projects the Seattle Seahawks to be the 5th-most pass-heavy offense on the slate this week with a 63.5% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.

THE BLITZ projects this game to have the 4th-most plays run among all games this week at 132.5 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

This game will be played in a dome—which means no wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and increased passing efficiency.

THE BLITZ projects Geno Smith to attempt 37.9 passes in this contest, on average: the 8th-most of all QBs.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Seattle Seahawks have called the 5th-least plays in football this year, averaging just 53.2 plays per game.

Opposing offenses have passed for the 7th-least yards in the league (just 204.0 per game) versus the New Orleans Saints defense this year.

Opposing quarterbacks have completed passes at the 2nd-lowest clip in the NFL versus the New Orleans Saints defense this year (63.3%).

The New Orleans Saints pass defense has displayed strong efficiency this year, surrendering 6.74 yards-per-target: the 7th-least in the league.

The New Orleans Saints safeties grade out as the 4th-best collection of safeties in the league this year in pass coverage.

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