Geno Smith Passing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 19

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Geno Smith

NFL · Player Props

Geno Smith

QB · Seattle Seahawks

Passing Yards

San Francisco 49ers vs Seattle Seahawks · Week 19, 2022

Updated Jan 19, 2023 4:28 PM UTC

Analysis

Geno Smith Passing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 223.5 (-101/-128).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 223.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 223.5 @ -128.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Seahawks are a big 9.5-point underdog in this game, likely creating an extreme passing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the Seattle Seahawks to be the 9th-most pass-oriented team in football (in a neutral context) at the present time with a 63.7% pass rate.
Opposing QBs have averaged 35.9 pass attempts per game against the San Francisco 49ers defense this year: 5th-most in the NFL.
Geno Smith has been among the best quarterbacks in football this year, averaging an impressive 256.0 yards per game while grading out in the 81st percentile.
Geno Smith has been among the most accurate passers in the league this year with a stellar 69.6% Completion%, ranking in the 100th percentile.

Favors Under

THE BLITZ projects the Seahawks to call the 3rd-least plays on offense among all teams this week with 63.5 plays, given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects Geno Smith to attempt 36.0 passes this week, on average: the 3rd-least of all QBs.
The San Francisco 49ers pass defense has exhibited good efficiency this year, yielding 7.36 yards-per-target: the 9th-least in football.
The San Francisco 49ers defense has excelled when opposing pass-catchers have gotten into space, yielding an average of 3.87 yards-after-the-catch this year: the 2nd-least in football.
The San Francisco 49ers linebackers profile as the 3rd-best LB corps in the NFL this year in pass coverage.

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