Geno Smith Passing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 15

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Geno Smith

NFL · Player Props

Geno Smith

QB · Seattle Seahawks

Passing Yards

Seattle Seahawks vs San Francisco 49ers · Week 15, 2022

Updated Dec 16, 2022 12:51 AM UTC

Analysis

Geno Smith Passing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 238.5 (-105/-125).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 238.5 @ +105 before it was bet up to 238.5 @ -105.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Seahawks are a 3.5-point underdog this week, likely creating a passing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the Seattle Seahawks as the 7th-most pass-oriented offense on the slate this week with a 62.6% pass rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 37.5 pass attempts per game versus the San Francisco 49ers defense this year: 6th-most in football.
The Seattle Seahawks offensive line ranks as the 9th-best in the league this year in protecting the quarterback, which has a strong effect on all passing game stats across the board.
Geno Smith has been among the best QBs in the NFL this year, averaging a terrific 266.0 yards per game while grading out in the 85th percentile.

Favors Under

THE BLITZ projects the Seahawks to call the 6th-least offensive plays on the slate this week with 62.5 plays, based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
The Seattle Seahawks have called the 3rd-least plays in football this year, averaging just 53.8 plays per game.
Opposing QBs have completed passes at the 8th-lowest level in the league vs. the San Francisco 49ers defense this year (68.2%).
The San Francisco 49ers pass defense has exhibited good efficiency this year, conceding 7.01 yards-per-target: the 5th-least in football.
The San Francisco 49ers defense has performed very well when opposing pass-catchers have gotten into space, giving up an average of 4.41 yards-after-the-catch this year: the 3rd-least in the league.

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