Geno Smith Passing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 14

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Geno Smith

NFL · Player Props

Geno Smith

QB · Seattle Seahawks

Passing Yards

Seattle Seahawks vs Carolina Panthers · Week 14, 2022

Updated Dec 11, 2022 9:16 PM UTC

Analysis

Geno Smith Passing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 265.5 (+107/-143).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 260.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 265.5 @ +107.

Key Factors

Favors Over

THE BLITZ projects the Seattle Seahawks as the 9th-most pass-centric team in the NFL (in a neutral context) at the moment with a 64.1% pass rate.
Geno Smith has been among the top QBs in the league this year, averaging a stellar 267.0 yards per game while checking in at the 83rd percentile.
Geno Smith's throwing accuracy has gotten a boost this year, with his Completion% jumping from 68.8% to 72.2%.
Geno Smith's throwing efficiency has improved this year, compiling 8.16 yards-per-target compared to just 7.06 rate last year.
Opposing teams have completed passes at the 5th-highest level in the NFL vs. the Carolina Panthers defense this year (74.2%).

Favors Under

The Seahawks are a 3.5-point favorite in this game, indicating a rushing game script.
THE BLITZ projects this game to see the 4th-lowest volume of plays run among all games this week at 126.8 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
The Seattle Seahawks have called the 5th-least plays in football this year, totaling a lowly 54.2 plays per game.
The Carolina Panthers pass defense has exhibited good efficiency this year, giving up 7.39 yards-per-target: the 10th-least in football.
The Carolina Panthers defense has excelled when opposing pass-catchers have gotten into space, surrendering an average of 4.13 yards-after-the-catch this year: the least in the NFL.

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