Geno Smith Pass Attempts - Player Prop Bet Week 17

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Geno Smith

NFL · Player Props

Geno Smith

QB · Seattle Seahawks

Pass Attempts

Seattle Seahawks vs New York Jets · Week 17, 2022

Updated Jan 1, 2023 8:51 PM UTC

Analysis

Geno Smith Pass Attempts Prop is currently Over/Under 32.5 (-145/+115).

Key Factors

Favors Over

THE BLITZ projects the Seattle Seahawks as the 7th-most pass-heavy offense in the league (context-neutralized) at the moment with a 64.4% pass rate.
THE BLITZ projects this game to see the highest volume of plays run out of all the games this week at 135.3 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
The forecast calls for 1-mph wind in this game. Low wind typically means higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and better passing efficiency.
THE BLITZ projects Geno Smith to attempt 38.0 passes in this week's game, on average: the 9th-most of all QBs.
The New York Jets have stacked the box vs. opponents on 22.0% of their plays since the start of last season, 3rd-most in football. Positioning an extra defender close to the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the expense of better passing efficiency.

Favors Under

The Seattle Seahawks have called the 9th-least plays in the NFL this year, averaging a mere 55.2 plays per game.
The Seattle Seahawks have gone for it on 4th down just 8.7% of the time since the start of last season (least in the NFL), which usually means less offensive volume, less TD potential, and lower offensive statistics across the board.

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