Geno Smith Pass Attempts - Player Prop Bet Week 14

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Geno Smith

NFL · Player Props

Geno Smith

QB · Seattle Seahawks

Pass Attempts

Seattle Seahawks vs Carolina Panthers · Week 14, 2022

Updated Dec 11, 2022 9:06 PM UTC

Analysis

Geno Smith Pass Attempts Prop is currently Over/Under 34.5 (-120/-105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 34.5 @ -120 before it was bet up to 34.5 @ -120.

Key Factors

Favors Over

THE BLITZ projects the Seattle Seahawks as the 9th-most pass-centric team in the NFL (in a neutral context) at the moment with a 64.1% pass rate.
The Carolina Panthers have stacked the box vs. opponents on 26.1% of their plays since the start of last season, most in the NFL. Keeping an extra defender close to the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the expense of better passing efficiency.
The Seattle Seahawks have gone no-huddle on 15.5% of their play-calls outside the two-minute warning since the start of last season (4th-most in football). This speeds up the pace, leading to more volume and stat production.

Favors Under

The Seahawks are a 3.5-point favorite in this game, indicating a rushing game script.
THE BLITZ projects this game to see the 4th-lowest volume of plays run among all games this week at 126.8 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
The Seattle Seahawks have called the 5th-least plays in football this year, totaling a lowly 54.2 plays per game.
The Seattle Seahawks have gone for it on 4th down a lowly 8.7% of the time since the start of last season (least in the league), which generally means less offensive volume, less touchdown potential, and lower offensive metrics across the board.

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