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Geno Smith

Geno Smith Interceptions
Player Prop Week 7

Los Angeles Chargers vs Seattle Seahawks

 
 
 
Geno Smith Interceptions Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (-155/+125).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Seahawks are a 4.5-point underdog this week, likely leading to a passing game script.
  • THE BLITZ projects the Seattle Seahawks to be the least pass-centric team on the slate this week with a 60.9% pass rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
  • THE BLITZ projects this game to see the 3rd-highest volume of plays run on the slate this week at 130.7 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • The weather forecast calls for 0-mph wind in this game. Low wind usually means increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and increased passing effectiveness.
  • THE BLITZ projects Geno Smith to attempt 36.4 passes in this week's contest, on average: the 8th-most of all QBs.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Seattle Seahawks have called the 4th-least plays in the league this year, totaling a lowly 53.3 plays per game.
  • Geno Smith has thrown a measly 0.36 interceptions per game this year, grading out in the 87th percentile among QBs.
  • The Los Angeles Chargers have intercepted 1.01 balls per game this year, ranking as the 8th-best defense in the NFL by this metric.
  • The Seattle Seahawks have been faced with a stacked the box on a mere 11.5% of their plays since the start of last season, 4th-least in the league. Keeping an extra defender near the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the expense of better passing efficiency.
  • The Los Angeles Chargers have stacked the box versus opponents on just 13.8% of their plays since the start of last season, 9th-least in the league. Choosing not to bring an extra defender close to the line of scrimmage improves pass defense at the expense of run-stopping.

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