Geno Smith Interceptions - Player Prop Bet Week 18

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Geno Smith

NFL · Player Props

Geno Smith

QB · Seattle Seahawks

Interceptions

Seattle Seahawks vs Los Angeles Rams · Week 18, 2022

Updated Jan 9, 2023 1:01 AM UTC

Analysis

Geno Smith Interceptions Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (-105/-125).

Key Factors

Favors Over

THE BLITZ projects the Seattle Seahawks to be the 8th-most pass-centric offense in football (in a neutral context) right now with a 64.3% pass rate.
The Los Angeles Rams safeties grade out as the 3rd-worst group of safeties in the league this year in covering pass-catchers.
The Seattle Seahawks have gone no-huddle on 15.5% of their plays outside the two-minute warning since the start of last season (4th-most in the NFL). This speeds up the pace, resulting in more volume and stat-padding.

Favors Under

The Seahawks are a 5.5-point favorite in this week's game, indicating a rushing game script.
THE BLITZ projects this game to have the 3rd-smallest volume of plays run out of all the games this week at 127.3 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
The Los Angeles Rams have intercepted 0.90 targets per game this year, ranking as the 7th-best defense in the NFL by this metric.
The Los Angeles Rams pass rush has gotten pressure on opposing quarterbacks a measly 2.37 seconds after the snap (on average), ranking as the 4th-best in the NFL since the start of last season.
The Seattle Seahawks have gone up against a stacked the box on a measly 11.5% of their plays since the start of last season, 4th-least in the league. Keeping an extra defender close to the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the expense of better passing efficiency.

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