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Geno Smith Interceptions Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (-155/+105).
The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ -155.
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FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
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THE BLITZ projects this game to have the highest volume of plays run among all games this week at 137.9 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.The weatherman calls for 4-mph wind in this game. Low wind generally means higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and increased passing effectiveness.THE BLITZ projects Geno Smith to attempt 37.8 passes in this week's contest, on average: the 7th-most of all quarterbacks.The Seattle Seahawks offensive line ranks as the 6th-best in the NFL this year in pass protection, which has a strong impact on all passing game statistics across the board.The Seattle Seahawks have gone no-huddle on 15.5% of their plays outside the two-minute warning since the start of last season (4th-most in the league). This quickens the pace, leading to more volume and stat accumulation.
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FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
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The Seattle Seahawks have run the 4th-least plays in the NFL this year, averaging just 54.9 plays per game.Geno Smith has totaled a measly 0.49 interceptions per game this year, checking in at the 78th percentile among QBs.The Tampa Bay Buccaneers cornerbacks project as the 3rd-best collection of CBs in football this year in covering pass-catchers.The Seattle Seahawks have gone up against a stacked the box on a mere 11.5% of their plays since the start of last season, 4th-least in football. Keeping an extra defender close to the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the expense of better passing efficiency.The Seattle Seahawks have risked going for it on 4th down a measly 8.7% of the time since the start of last season (least in the NFL), which typically means less offensive volume, less touchdown potential, and lower offensive metrics across the board.
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