My Account Log Out

reorder

Geno Smith

Geno Smith Completions
Player Prop Week 17

Chicago Bears vs Seattle Seahawks

Geno Smith Completions Prop is currently Over/Under 22.5 (-125/-105).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 22.5 @ +100 before it was bet down to 22.5 @ -105.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The predictive model expects the Seahawks to be the 5th-most pass-centric offense in football (context-neutralized) at the moment with a 63.4% pass rate.

The predictive model expects the Seahawks offense to be the 9th-quickest paced team in the league (in a neutral context) right now, averaging 27.10 seconds per snap.

In totaling a massive 36.7 pass attempts per game this year, Geno Smith places among the top QBs in the NFL (95th percentile) by this metric.

Geno Smith's 69.9% Adjusted Completion% this year conveys a remarkable growth in his passing precision over last year's 65.3% mark.

As it relates to linebackers in covering receivers, Chicago's LB corps has been dreadful this year, profiling as the 10th-worst in the league.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Seahawks are a 5-point favorite in this week's game, likely creating a rushing game script.

The Seattle Seahawks offensive line ranks as the 4th-worst in the league this year in protecting the QB, which has a negative effect on all passing attack stats across the board.

More Geno Smith Player Props

© 2022 EV Analytics | Data by WriteNow™