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Geno Smith

Geno Smith Completions
Player Prop Week 4

New York Giants vs Seattle Seahawks

 
 
 
Geno Smith Completions Prop is currently Over/Under 21.5 (-130/+100).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 21.5 @ -129 before it was bet up to 21.5 @ -130.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Our trusted projections expect the Seattle Seahawks to be the 8th-most pass-oriented team in the NFL (context-neutralized) at the moment with a 63.3% pass rate.
  • Calm weather conditions (like the 2-mph wind being called for in this game) typically mean better passing efficiency, higher TD potential, higher air volume, and reduced ground volume.
  • Geno Smith has been among the most accurate passers in football this year with an impressive 68.8% Completion%, grading out in the 76th percentile.
  • The Giants safeties grade out as the 3rd-worst safety corps in the NFL since the start of last season in covering pass-catchers.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The leading projections forecast the Seahawks to run the fewest offensive plays among all teams this week with 63.5 plays, accounting for their underlying traits and game dynamics.
  • In this game, Geno Smith is forecasted by the projections to average the 7th-fewest pass attempts among all QBs with 35.0.
  • Opposing offenses have averaged 32.2 pass attempts per game against the New York Giants defense since the start of last season: 8th-fewest in the NFL.
  • Opposing QBs have completed passes at the 8th-lowest rate in the league versus the New York Giants defense since the start of last season (68.2%).

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