Geno Smith Completions - Player Prop Bet Week 4

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Geno Smith

NFL · Player Props

Geno Smith

QB · Seattle Seahawks

Completions

New York Giants vs Seattle Seahawks · Week 4, 2023

Updated Oct 2, 2023 11:11 PM UTC

Analysis

Geno Smith Completions Prop is currently Over/Under 21.5 (-130/+100).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 21.5 @ -129 before it was bet up to 21.5 @ -130.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Our trusted projections expect the Seattle Seahawks to be the 8th-most pass-oriented team in the NFL (context-neutralized) at the moment with a 63.3% pass rate.
Calm weather conditions (like the 2-mph wind being called for in this game) typically mean better passing efficiency, higher TD potential, higher air volume, and reduced ground volume.
Geno Smith has been among the most accurate passers in football this year with an impressive 68.8% Completion%, grading out in the 76th percentile.
The Giants safeties grade out as the 3rd-worst safety corps in the NFL since the start of last season in covering pass-catchers.

Favors Under

The leading projections forecast the Seahawks to run the fewest offensive plays among all teams this week with 63.5 plays, accounting for their underlying traits and game dynamics.
In this game, Geno Smith is forecasted by the projections to average the 7th-fewest pass attempts among all QBs with 35.0.
Opposing offenses have averaged 32.2 pass attempts per game against the New York Giants defense since the start of last season: 8th-fewest in the NFL.
Opposing QBs have completed passes at the 8th-lowest rate in the league versus the New York Giants defense since the start of last season (68.2%).

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