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Geno Smith

Geno Smith Completions
Player Prop Week 17

Seattle Seahawks vs Pittsburgh Steelers

Geno Smith Completions Prop is currently Over/Under 21.5 (-130/-100).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 21.5 @ -100 before it was bet up to 21.5 @ -130.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The model projects the Seahawks to be the 7th-most pass-heavy team in the NFL (adjusted for context) right now with a 63.7% pass rate.

The pass games of both teams (including both volume and efficiency) ought to benefit from the still weather conditions (2-mph wind) being called for in this game, while run volume may go down.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

A running game script is suggested by the Seahawks being a 4.5-point favorite this week.

Based on their underlying propensities and game dynamics, the Seattle Seahawks are predicted by the projections to run only 62.0 offensive plays in this contest: the lowest number on the slate this week.

The 6th-lowest number of plays in the league have been called by the Seattle Seahawks this year (a lowly 55.5 per game on average).

Opposing QBs have averaged 34.7 pass attempts per game versus the Steelers defense this year: 9th-fewest in football.

Geno Smith's throwing precision has declined this season, with his Adjusted Completion% decreasing from 69.4% to 65.9%.

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