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Geno Smith

Geno Smith Completions
Player Prop Week 13

Dallas Cowboys vs Seattle Seahawks

Geno Smith Completions Prop is currently Over/Under 22.5 (+120/-150).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 21.5 @ -130 before it was bet up to 22.5 @ +120.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

An extreme passing game script is indicated by the Seahawks being a massive -9.5-point underdog this week.

Based on their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Seattle Seahawks to pass on 66.0% of their downs: the 2nd-greatest rate among all teams this week.

Right now, the 9th-fastest paced offense in football (in a neutral context) according to the projection model is the Seattle Seahawks.

This game will be played in a dome—meaning no wind, increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and better passing efficiency.

The leading projections forecast Geno Smith to attempt 39.0 passes this week, on average: the 2nd-most out of all quarterbacks.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Opposing offenses teams have been hesitant to lean on the pass against the Dallas Cowboys, averaging the 3rd-fewest attempts in the league (a measly 30.5 per game) this year.

Geno Smith's throwing accuracy has tailed off this season, with his Adjusted Completion% decreasing from 69.4% to 66.2%.

This year, the daunting Dallas Cowboys defense has yielded a feeble 64.1% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing quarterbacks: the 2nd-best rate in the NFL.

When it comes to linebackers in pass coverage, Dallas's group of LBs has been exceptional this year, grading out as the 3rd-best in football.

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