Geno Smith Completions - Player Prop Bet Week 1

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Geno Smith

NFL · Player Props

Geno Smith

QB · Seattle Seahawks

Completions

Seattle Seahawks vs Los Angeles Rams · Week 1, 2023

Updated Sep 10, 2023 11:21 PM UTC

Analysis

Geno Smith Completions Prop is currently Over/Under 21.5 (-122/-118).

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Seahawks rank as the 8th-most pass-oriented team in the NFL (in a neutral context) since the start of last season with a 63.7% pass rate.
THE BLITZ projects the Seahawks to run the 3rd-most plays on offense on the slate this week with 66.2 plays, given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
Geno Smith has been among the most on-target passers in football since the start of last season with a stellar 69.4% Completion%, checking in at the 97th percentile.
Opposing teams have completed passes at the 10th-highest rate in the NFL versus the Los Angeles Rams defense since the start of last season (71.8%).
The Los Angeles Rams safeties profile as the 3rd-worst safety corps in the league since the start of last season in covering pass-catchers.

Favors Under

The Seahawks are a 4.5-point favorite this week, likely creating a rushing game script.

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