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Geno Smith

Geno Smith Completions
Player Prop Week 3

Seattle Seahawks vs Atlanta Falcons

Geno Smith Completions Prop is currently Over/Under 22.5 (-130/-105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 22.5 @ -125 before it was bet up to 22.5 @ -130.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The forecast calls for 4-mph wind in this game. Low wind usually means higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and increased passing effectiveness.

Geno Smith's passing accuracy has gotten a boost this year, with his Completion% jumping from 68.8% to 80.5%.

Opposing QBs have completed passes at the 4th-highest level in the NFL versus the Atlanta Falcons defense since the start of last season (73.3%).

The Atlanta Falcons safeties profile as the 5th-worst unit in the league since the start of last season in pass coverage.

The Seattle Seahawks have gone no-huddle on 15.5% of their plays outside the two-minute warning since the start of last season (4th-most in the league). This quickens the pace, leading to more volume and stat-padding.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

THE BLITZ projects the Seahawks to run the 3rd-least offensive plays among all teams this week with 59.1 plays, based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.

The Seattle Seahawks have run the least plays in the league since the start of last season, totaling a mere 54.7 plays per game.

THE BLITZ projects Geno Smith to attempt 31.4 passes in this week's contest, on average: the 6th-least of all quarterbacks.

The Seattle Seahawks offensive line grades out as the 8th-worst in football since the start of last season in protecting the QB, which has a negative impact on all passing offense statistics across the board.

The Atlanta Falcons defensive front has gotten pressure on opposing quarterbacks a mere 2.43 seconds after the snap (on average), grading out as the 9th-quickest in the NFL since the start of last season.

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