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Geno Smith

Geno Smith Completions
Player Prop Week 13

Los Angeles Rams vs Seattle Seahawks

Geno Smith Completions Prop is currently Over/Under 22.5 (-113/-118).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 22.5 @ -102 before it was bet down to 22.5 @ -118.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

THE BLITZ projects the Seattle Seahawks as the 9th-most pass-oriented offense in the NFL (context-neutralized) at the present time with a 63.6% pass rate.

THE BLITZ projects the Seattle Seahawks offense to be the 9th-fastest paced team in the NFL (adjusted for context) at the moment, averaging 27.38 seconds per snap.

The forecast calls for 3-mph wind in this game. Low wind usually means higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and better passing efficiency.

Geno Smith's passing accuracy has improved this year, with his Completion% jumping from 68.8% to 72.4%.

The Los Angeles Rams linebackers grade out as the 4th-worst collection of LBs in the NFL this year in pass coverage.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Seahawks are a 6.5-point favorite in this week's game, indicating a rushing game script.

The Los Angeles Rams pass rush has gotten pressure on opposing quarterbacks just 2.37 seconds after the snap (on average), ranking as the 4th-quickest in the NFL since the start of last season.

The Seattle Seahawks have faced a stacked the box on just 11.5% of their plays since the start of last season, 4th-least in football. Positioning an extra defender near the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the cost of better passing efficiency.

The Los Angeles Rams have stacked the box vs. opponents on just 5.9% of their plays since the start of last season, least in the league. Choosing not to keep an extra defender near the line of scrimmage improves pass defense at the expense of run-stopping.

The Seattle Seahawks have elected to go for it on 4th down a mere 8.7% of the time since the start of last season (least in football), which typically means less offensive volume, less touchdown potential, and lower offensive stats across the board.

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