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Geno Smith

Geno Smith Completions
Player Prop Week 10

Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs Seattle Seahawks

Geno Smith Completions Prop is currently Over/Under 22.5 (+103/-137).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 22.5 @ -128 before it was bet down to 22.5 @ -137.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

THE BLITZ projects this game to have the highest volume of plays run among all games this week at 137.9 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

The weatherman calls for 4-mph wind in this game. Low wind generally means higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and increased passing effectiveness.

THE BLITZ projects Geno Smith to attempt 37.8 passes in this week's contest, on average: the 7th-most of all quarterbacks.

The Seattle Seahawks offensive line ranks as the 6th-best in the NFL this year in pass protection, which has a strong impact on all passing game statistics across the board.

Geno Smith's passing precision has been refined this year, with his Completion% jumping from 68.8% to 72.8%.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Seattle Seahawks have run the 4th-least plays in the NFL this year, averaging just 54.9 plays per game.

Opposing teams have completed passes at the 7th-lowest level in the league vs. the Tampa Bay Buccaneers defense this year (66.5%).

The Tampa Bay Buccaneers cornerbacks project as the 3rd-best collection of CBs in football this year in covering pass-catchers.

The Seattle Seahawks have gone up against a stacked the box on a mere 11.5% of their plays since the start of last season, 4th-least in football. Keeping an extra defender close to the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the expense of better passing efficiency.

The Seattle Seahawks have risked going for it on 4th down a measly 8.7% of the time since the start of last season (least in the NFL), which typically means less offensive volume, less touchdown potential, and lower offensive metrics across the board.

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