Geno Smith Carries - Player Prop Bet Week 7

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Geno Smith

NFL · Player Props

Geno Smith

QB · Seattle Seahawks

Carries

Atlanta Falcons vs Seattle Seahawks · Week 7, 2024

Updated Oct 21, 2024 2:31 AM EST

Analysis

Geno Smith Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (-135/+105).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 2.5 @ +130 before it was bet down to 2.5 @ +105.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The projections expect the Seattle Seahawks to run the 2nd-most total plays among all teams this week with 67.8 plays, based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
The Seahawks have called the 4th-most plays in football this year, averaging a monstrous 60.5 plays per game.

Favors Under

At a -3-point disadvantage, the Seahawks are underdogs in this week's game, suggesting more of a reliance on moving the ball through the air than their usual approach.
Accounting for their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Seahawks to run on 36.5% of their plays: the 2nd-lowest clip among all teams this week.
This game will be played in a dome—which means no wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and increased passing efficiency.
The Atlanta Falcons defensive tackles grade out as the 3rd-best unit in football this year when it comes to defending the run.

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