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Geno Smith

Geno Smith Carries
Player Prop Week 7

Atlanta Falcons vs Seattle Seahawks

 
 
 
Geno Smith Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (-135/+105).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 2.5 @ +130 before it was bet down to 2.5 @ +105.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The projections expect the Seattle Seahawks to run the 2nd-most total plays among all teams this week with 67.8 plays, based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
  • The Seahawks have called the 4th-most plays in football this year, averaging a monstrous 60.5 plays per game.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • At a -3-point disadvantage, the Seahawks are underdogs in this week's game, suggesting more of a reliance on moving the ball through the air than their usual approach.
  • Accounting for their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Seahawks to run on 36.5% of their plays: the 2nd-lowest clip among all teams this week.
  • This game will be played in a dome—which means no wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and increased passing efficiency.
  • The Atlanta Falcons defensive tackles grade out as the 3rd-best unit in football this year when it comes to defending the run.

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