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Geno Smith

Geno Smith Carries
Player Prop Week 15

Seattle Seahawks vs Green Bay Packers

Geno Smith Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (-145/+115).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 3.5 @ -160 before it was bet down to 2.5 @ +115.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Given the game dynamics and the underlying approaches of each team, this game is projected by the model to see 131.2 plays on offense run: the 5th-most among all games this week.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The projections expect the Seattle Seahawks to be the 9th-least run-centric offense among all teams this week with a 39.5% run rate, given their underlying traits and matchup dynamics.

The forecast calls for 3-mph wind in this game. Low wind generally means increased pass volume, and lower run volume, increased TD potential, and increased passing effectiveness.

As it relates to the defensive ends' role in stopping the run, Green Bay's DE corps has been excellent this year, grading out as the 9th-best in the NFL.

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