Geno Smith Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (+140/-170).
Key Factors
Favors Over
The model projects the Seattle Seahawks offense to be the 4th-quickest paced team in the NFL (context-neutralized) right now, averaging 26.91 seconds per play.
Favors Under
A passing game script is indicated by the Seahawks being a -3-point underdog this week.
Accounting for their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Seahawks to run on 36.0% of their plays: the 3rd-lowest rate among all teams this week.
This game will be played in a dome—which means no wind, higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and increased passing effectiveness.
The Arizona Cardinals safeties grade out as the 6th-best collection of safeties in the league this year when it comes to defending the run.