Geno Smith Carries - Player Prop Bet Week 13

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Geno Smith

NFL · Player Props

Geno Smith

QB · Seattle Seahawks

Carries

Dallas Cowboys vs Seattle Seahawks · Week 13, 2023

Updated Dec 1, 2023 4:01 AM EST

Analysis

Geno Smith Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (+115/-145).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 2.5 @ +120 before it was bet up to 2.5 @ +115.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Right now, the 9th-fastest paced offense in football (in a neutral context) according to the projection model is the Seattle Seahawks.

Favors Under

An extreme passing game script is indicated by the Seahawks being a massive -9.5-point underdog this week.
Given their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, our trusted projections expect the Seahawks to run on 34.0% of their downs: the 2nd-lowest clip on the slate this week.
This game will be played in a dome—meaning no wind, increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and better passing efficiency.
In this game, Geno Smith is anticipated by the projections to garner the 7th-fewest carries out of all QBs with 2.5.
Geno Smith has been a much smaller piece of his offense's rushing attack this year (7.6% Carry Share in games he has been on the field) than he was last year (13.7%).

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