Gary Brightwell Receptions - Player Prop Bet Week 3

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Gary Brightwell

NFL · Player Props

Gary Brightwell

RB · New York Giants

Receptions

San Francisco 49ers vs New York Giants · Week 3, 2023

Updated Sep 21, 2023 11:56 PM UTC

Analysis

Gary Brightwell Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (+110/-145).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 1.5 @ -100 before it was bet down to 1.5 @ -145.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Giants are a giant 10.5-point underdog in this game, indicating an extreme passing game script.
Opposing QBs have averaged 37.5 pass attempts per game vs. the San Francisco 49ers defense since the start of last season: 2nd-most in football.

Favors Under

THE BLITZ projects the Giants to call the least offensive plays among all teams this week with 59.6 plays, given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
The weather forecast calls for 13-mph wind in this game. High wind typically means reduced pass volume (and increased run volume) and lessened passing effectiveness.
Gary Brightwell has run a route on 10.5% of his team's dropbacks since the start of last season, putting him in the 14th percentile among RBs.
The New York Giants offensive line profiles as the worst in football since the start of last season in protecting the passer, which has a harmful effect on all air attack statistics across the board.
Gary Brightwell has been among the weakest pass-catching running backs since the start of last season, averaging a mere 0.8 receptions per game while checking in at the 19th percentile among RBs.

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