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Gary Brightwell

Gary Brightwell Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 4

New York Giants vs Seattle Seahawks

Gary Brightwell Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 8.5 (-110/-110).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Still weather conditions (like the 2-mph wind being called for in this game) typically prompt better passing effectiveness, higher touchdown potential, higher pass volume, and reduced ground volume.

Gary Brightwell has been among the most efficient pass-catchers in the league when it comes to RBs, averaging an impressive 7.85 yards-per-target this year while ranking in the 81st percentile.

The Seattle Seahawks defense has allowed the 3rd-most receiving yards per game in the NFL (40.0) to RBs since the start of last season.

The Seahawks pass defense has exhibited poor efficiency versus running backs since the start of last season, giving up 6.62 yards-per-target to the position: the 3rd-most in the NFL.

The Seahawks safeties profile as the worst safety corps in the NFL since the start of last season in covering pass-catchers.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Accounting for their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the New York Giants to pass on 56.3% of their plays: the lowest frequency on the slate this week.

The projections expect this game to have the lowest volume of plays run among all games this week at 127.6 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

Gary Brightwell's 4.4 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—a volume metric that measures high-value offensive involvement) ranks among the worst in the league: 22nd percentile for RBs.

The Giants offensive line ranks as the worst in football since the start of last season in pass protection, which has a harmful effect on all passing attack metrics across the board.

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