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Garrett Wilson

Garrett Wilson Receptions
Player Prop Week 6

New York Jets vs Buffalo Bills

Garrett Wilson Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 5.5 (-149/+115).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 5.5 @ -128 before it was bet up to 5.5 @ -149.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Bills defense has been a prominent pass funnel this year, causing opposing teams to attempt the 7th-most passes in football (36.8 per game) this year.

Garrett Wilson has run a route on 97.7% of his team's passing plays this year, ranking him in the 99th percentile when it comes to WRs.

The projections expect Garrett Wilson to garner 8.7 targets in this week's contest, on balance, placing him in the 92nd percentile when it comes to wide receivers.

The Jets offensive line profiles as the 5th-best in football this year in protecting the QB, which has a strong impact on all passing attack statistics across the board.

Garrett Wilson's receiving skills have been refined this year, compiling 8.3 adjusted receptions vs just 5.6 last year.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The projections expect the New York Jets as the 2nd-most pass-oriented team among all teams this week with a 63.0% pass rate, given their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.

Based on the game dynamics and the underlying traits of each team, this game is predicted by the predictive model to see just 123.6 total plays run: the fewest on the slate this week.

The fewest plays in the league have been called by the Jets this year (a lowly 46.2 per game on average).

The forecast calls for 16-mph wind in this game. High wind typically means lower pass volume (and increased run volume) and worse passing efficiency.

The Buffalo Bills cornerbacks grade out as the 3rd-best group of CBs in the NFL this year in covering pass-catchers.

More Garrett Wilson Player Props

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