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Garrett Wilson

Garrett Wilson Receptions
Player Prop Week 14

Miami Dolphins vs New York Jets

Garrett Wilson Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 5.5 (-125/-105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 5.5 @ +115 before it was bet up to 5.5 @ -125.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Jets are a 6.5-point underdog in this week's contest, indicating a passing game script.

Accounting for their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Jets to pass on 63.7% of their chances: the 4th-greatest rate on the slate this week.

With an elite 98.4% Route% (99th percentile) this year, Garrett Wilson places among the wide receivers with the most usage in the league.

The predictive model expects Garrett Wilson to total 9.3 targets in this week's contest, on balance, putting him in the 92nd percentile among WRs.

As it relates to pass protection (and the strong impact it has on all pass game metrics), the offensive line of the New York Jets grades out as the 7th-best in the NFL this year.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The projections expect this game to see the 5th-fewest plays run on the slate this week at 127.7 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

The New York Jets have run the 7th-fewest plays in football this year, totaling a mere 55.7 plays per game.

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