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Garrett Wilson

Garrett Wilson Receptions
Player Prop Week 9

New York Jets vs Los Angeles Chargers

Garrett Wilson Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 5.5 (+102/-139).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 4.5 @ -166 before it was bet up to 5.5 @ +102.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The New York Jets will be forced to start backup quarterback Zach Wilson in this game, which usually means fewer pass attempts and more rush attempts.

The Jets are a 3-point underdog in this week's game, likely creating a passing game script.

Given the game dynamics and the underlying tendencies of each team, this game is anticipated by the predictive model to see 130.6 total plays run: the 4th-most among all games this week.

Opposing offenses have averaged 39.7 pass attempts per game versus the Chargers defense this year: 4th-most in the league.

In this contest, Garrett Wilson is anticipated by the model to secure a spot in the 98th percentile among wideouts with 10.9 targets.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Based on their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the projections expect the New York Jets to pass on 58.8% of their chances: the lowest rate among all teams this week.

The Jets have called the fewest plays in the league this year, totaling a mere 52.9 plays per game.

The New York O-line ranks as the worst in football this year in protecting the QB, which has a harmful influence on all air attack statistics across the board.

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