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Garrett Wilson

Garrett Wilson Receptions
Player Prop Week 8

New York Giants vs New York Jets

Garrett Wilson Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (-155/+125).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 5.5 @ -150 before it was bet down to 4.5 @ +125.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Jets may throw the ball less in this game (and call more carries) because they be forced to utilize backup QB Zach Wilson.

In this week's contest, Garrett Wilson is expected by the model to rank in the 93rd percentile when it comes to WRs with 9.3 targets.

Garrett Wilson's 79.8 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced metric that weighs high-value offensive volume) has been significantly higher this year than it was last year at 59.8.

Garrett Wilson has been one of the top wide receivers in the league this year, averaging an outstanding 5.6 adjusted receptions per game while checking in at the 89th percentile.

Garrett Wilson's 64.1% Adjusted Catch Rate this year marks an impressive boost in his receiving skills over last year's 61.1% mark.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Jets are a 3-point favorite in this week's game, likely leading to a rushing game script.

Accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, the model projects the New York Jets to pass on 56.0% of their plays: the 10th-lowest rate on the slate this week.

Based on their underlying propensities and game dynamics, the New York Jets are forecasted by our trusted projection set to run only 63.4 plays on offense in this contest: the 10th-lowest number among all teams this week.

The 3rd-smallest volume of plays in the league have been run by the Jets this year (a mere 52.0 per game on average).

Opposing quarterbacks teams have been wary to lean on the pass against the New York Giants, averaging the 5th-fewest attempts in the league (a lowly 32.9 per game) this year.

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