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Garrett Wilson

Garrett Wilson Receptions
Player Prop Week 16

New York Jets vs Washington Commanders

Garrett Wilson Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 5.5 (-114/-114).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 5.5 @ +118 before it was bet up to 5.5 @ -114.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

At the present time, the 9th-most pass-focused team in the NFL (63.4% context-neutralized) according to the projection model is the Jets.

At a mere 27.18 seconds per play, the New York Jets offense profiles as the 10th-fastest paced in the NFL (in a neutral context) this year.

The passing offenses of both teams (in terms of both volume and efficiency) stand to benefit from the calm weather conditions (4-mph wind) being forecasted in this game, while ground volume may go down.

Garrett Wilson's 97.7% Route Participation Rate this season indicates a significant gain in his pass attack usage over last season's 86.4% rate.

Our trusted projections expect Garrett Wilson to accumulate 9.6 targets this week, on average, placing him in the 96th percentile among wide receivers.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

A rushing game script is suggested by the Jets being a 3-point favorite in this week's game.

The Jets O-line profiles as the 2nd-worst in football this year in pass protection, which has a negative effect on all passing attack stats across the board.

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