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Garrett Wilson
NFL · Player Props
Garrett Wilson
WR · New York Jets
Receptions
New York Jets vs Atlanta Falcons · Week 13, 2023 Updated Dec 3, 2023 8:26 PM UTC
NFL Props Garrett Wilson Receptions

Garrett Wilson Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 5.5 (+130/-170).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 5.5 @ -165 before it was bet down to 5.5 @ -170.

Favors Over
  • The Jets may pass less in this week's contest (and hand the ball off more) because they be forced to utilize backup QB Tim Boyle.
  • The Jets feature a new play-caller this season in offensive coordinator Nathaniel Hackett, and our trusted projections expect their pass/run mix to lean 1.8% more towards passing than it did last season (context-neutralized).
  • Based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the Jets to pass on 59.8% of their plays: the 7th-greatest rate on the slate this week.
  • Given the game dynamics and the underlying play styles of each team, this game is forecasted by our trusted projection set to have 131.6 plays on offense called: the 4th-most out of all the games this week.
  • In this week's game, Garrett Wilson is expected by the projections to rank in the 98th percentile when it comes to wide receivers with 10.7 targets.
Favors Under
  • The 6th-fewest plays in the league have been called by the Jets this year (a mere 54.9 per game on average).
  • When it comes to pass protection (and the effect it has on all air attack stats), the O-line of the Jets grades out as the worst in football this year.
  • Garrett Wilson grades out as one of the least sure-handed receivers in football, completing just 59.8% of passes thrown his way (adjusted for context) this year, grading out in the 24th percentile among wide receivers
  • This year, the tough Falcons defense has given up a paltry 61.7% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing wideouts: the 6th-best rate in the NFL.
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