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Garrett Wilson

Garrett Wilson Receptions
Player Prop Week 7

Denver Broncos vs New York Jets

 
 
 
Garrett Wilson Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (-110/-120).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • THE BLITZ projects the Jets to run the 6th-most offensive plays on the slate this week with 65.5 plays, accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
  • The New York Jets have called the 8th-most plays in football this year, totaling a whopping 62.2 plays per game.
  • Opposing QBs have averaged 40.3 pass attempts per game versus the Denver Broncos defense this year: 6th-most in the league.
  • Garrett Wilson has been a key part of his team's passing offense, earning a Target Share of 21.5% this year, which puts him in the 81st percentile among wide receivers.
  • Garrett Wilson has been among the leading wide receivers in the NFL this year, averaging a stellar 4.2 receptions per game while checking in at the 79th percentile.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • THE BLITZ projects the New York Jets as the least pass-oriented offense among all teams this week with a 52.9% pass rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
  • The forecast calls for 22-mph wind in this game. High wind typically means reduced pass volume (and higher run volume) and worse passing effectiveness.
  • The New York Jets O-line ranks as the 7th-worst in football this year in protecting the passer, which has a negative impact on all passing offense statistics across the board.
  • Garrett Wilson has been among the least sure-handed receivers in the NFL, catching a mere 58.9% of balls thrown his way this year, grading out in the 22nd percentile among WRs
  • The Denver Broncos pass defense has conceded the 10th-lowest Completion% in the league (63.8%) vs. wide receivers this year (63.8%).

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