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Garrett Wilson
NFL · Player Props
Garrett Wilson
WR · New York Jets
Receptions
Pittsburgh Steelers vs New York Jets · Week 4, 2022 Updated Oct 2, 2022 11:20 PM UTC
NFL Props Garrett Wilson Receptions

Garrett Wilson Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (+136/-184).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 4.5 @ -142 before it was bet down to 4.5 @ -184.

Favors Over
  • The Jets are a 3-point underdog in this week's contest, likely creating a passing game script.
  • The Jets rank as the 8th-most pass-centric team in the league (context-neutralized) this year with a 67.9% pass rate.
  • THE BLITZ projects this game to see the largest volume of plays run on the slate this week at 138.5 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • THE BLITZ projects Garrett Wilson to total 7.4 targets this week, on average, placing him in the 82nd percentile among wide receivers.
  • Garrett Wilson has been heavily involved in his team's passing attack, earning a Target Share of 21.5% this year, which ranks him in the 80th percentile among wideouts.
Favors Under
  • Opposing QBs have averaged 33.0 pass attempts per game versus the Pittsburgh Steelers defense since the start of last season: 10th-least in the NFL.
  • The New York Jets offensive line profiles as the 9th-worst in the league since the start of last season in protecting the quarterback, which has a harmful effect on all air attack metrics across the board.
  • The Pittsburgh Steelers linebackers grade out as the 6th-best group of LBs in the NFL since the start of last season in regard to rushing the passer.
  • The New York Jets have been faced with a stacked the box on just 13.6% of their plays since the start of last season, 9th-least in football. Bringing an extra defender near the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the expense of better passing efficiency.
  • The New York Jets have incorporated play action on just 23.1% of their dropbacks since the start of last season (8th-least in the league), making the offense more predictable and lowering passing effectiveness.
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