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Garrett Wilson

Garrett Wilson Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 9

New York Jets vs Houston Texans

Garrett Wilson Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 63.5 (-125/-103).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 62.5 @ -116 before it was bet up to 63.5 @ -125.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The leading projections forecast the New York Jets to be the 8th-most pass-oriented team in the NFL (context-neutralized) right now with a 62.5% pass rate.

With a remarkable 98.2% Route Participation Rate (99th percentile) this year, Garrett Wilson has been as one of the WRs with the highest volume in football.

Our trusted projections expect Garrett Wilson to total 8.6 targets in this game, on average, placing him in the 92nd percentile among wide receivers.

Garrett Wilson has accrued a monstrous 102.0 air yards per game this year: 96th percentile when it comes to wide receivers.

When talking about protecting the quarterback (and the positive effect it has on all passing offense stats), the O-line of the New York Jets ranks as the 4th-best in the league this year.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics, the Jets are forecasted by the model to run just 63.5 total plays in this contest: the 9th-lowest number among all teams this week.

This year, the formidable Texans defense has conceded a puny 56.2% Adjusted Completion Rate vs. opposing WRs: the smallest rate in the league.

When it comes to linebackers in covering receivers, Houston's group of LBs has been terrific this year, profiling as the 9th-best in the NFL.

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