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Garrett Wilson

Garrett Wilson Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 7

Pittsburgh Steelers vs New York Jets

Garrett Wilson Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 56.5 (-125/-103).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 54.5 @ -116 before it was bet up to 56.5 @ -125.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Jets rank as the 2nd-most pass-heavy offense in the league (context-neutralized) this year with a 68.3% pass rate.

The weather report calls for 2-mph wind in this game. Low wind typically means increased pass volume, and reduced run volume, increased touchdown potential, and increased passing effectiveness.

This week, Garrett Wilson is expected by the projection model to place in the 78th percentile among wide receivers with 7.2 targets.

The New York Jets O-line profiles as the 3rd-best in the league this year in pass protection, which has a positive influence on all passing attack statistics across the board.

Garrett Wilson has compiled many more adjusted receiving yards per game (80.0) this year than he did last year (63.0).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Accounting for their underlying play style and game dynamics, the New York Jets are expected by the predictive model to run just 62.4 total plays in this contest: the 5th-fewest among all teams this week.

The predictive model expects Garrett Wilson to be a much smaller piece of his team's air attack in this contest (23.0% projected Target Share) than he has been this year (31.0% in games he has played).

After averaging 104.0 air yards per game last year, Garrett Wilson has fallen off this year, now sitting at 91.0 per game.

More Garrett Wilson Player Props

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