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Garrett Wilson
NFL · Player Props
Garrett Wilson
WR · New York Jets
Receiving Yards
Pittsburgh Steelers vs New York Jets · Week 7, 2024 Updated Oct 21, 2024 12:06 AM EST
NFL Props Garrett Wilson Receiving Yards

Garrett Wilson Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 56.5 (-125/-103).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 54.5 @ -116 before it was bet up to 56.5 @ -125.

Favors Over
  • The Jets rank as the 2nd-most pass-heavy offense in the league (context-neutralized) this year with a 68.3% pass rate.
  • The weather report calls for 2-mph wind in this game. Low wind typically means increased pass volume, and reduced run volume, increased touchdown potential, and increased passing effectiveness.
  • This week, Garrett Wilson is expected by the projection model to place in the 78th percentile among wide receivers with 7.2 targets.
  • The New York Jets O-line profiles as the 3rd-best in the league this year in pass protection, which has a positive influence on all passing attack statistics across the board.
  • Garrett Wilson has compiled many more adjusted receiving yards per game (80.0) this year than he did last year (63.0).
Favors Under
  • Accounting for their underlying play style and game dynamics, the New York Jets are expected by the predictive model to run just 62.4 total plays in this contest: the 5th-fewest among all teams this week.
  • The predictive model expects Garrett Wilson to be a much smaller piece of his team's air attack in this contest (23.0% projected Target Share) than he has been this year (31.0% in games he has played).
  • After averaging 104.0 air yards per game last year, Garrett Wilson has fallen off this year, now sitting at 91.0 per game.
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