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Garrett Wilson Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 69.5 (-123/-105).
The money has been on the Over as it opened 65.5 @ -116 before it was bet up to 69.5 @ -123.
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FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
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The model projects the Jets to be the 7th-most pass-oriented offense on the slate this week with a 59.8% pass rate, given their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying approaches of each team, this game is expected by our trusted projection set to have 130.0 total plays run: the 5th-most out of all the games this week.Garrett Wilson has run a route on 98.6% of his team's dropbacks this year, placing him in the 100th percentile when it comes to wide receivers.In this week's contest, Garrett Wilson is forecasted by the projections to slot into the 96th percentile when it comes to WRs with 9.3 targets.When it comes to pass-blocking (and the strong effect it has on all pass game stats), the offensive line of the New York Jets profiles as the 7th-best in the NFL this year.
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FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
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This week's spread suggests a rushing game script for the Jets, who are favored by 4.5 points.The 10th-smallest volume of plays in football have been run by the New York Jets this year (just 56.2 per game on average).After accruing 104.0 air yards per game last season, Garrett Wilson has seen a big decline this season, now averaging 92.0 per game.As it relates to cornerbacks in covering receivers, Indianapolis's CB corps has been terrific this year, ranking as the 6th-best in football.
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