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Garrett Wilson

Garrett Wilson Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 5

Denver Broncos vs New York Jets

Garrett Wilson Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 62.5 (-145/+115).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The New York Jets will be forced to use backup QB Zach Wilson in this game, which usually means fewer pass attempts and more rushes.

Garrett Wilson has been less involved as a potential target this season (98.6% Route Participation Rate in games he has been on the field) than he did last season (86.4%).

The model projects Garrett Wilson to total 9.6 targets this week, on average, placing him in the 96th percentile when it comes to wideouts.

Garrett Wilson's 66.7% Adjusted Completion Rate this year indicates a a noteable gain in his receiving proficiency over last year's 61.1% figure.

The Denver Broncos pass defense has been vulnerable when opposing WRs have gotten into space, conceding an average of 6.02 yards-after-the-catch this year: the 7th-most in the NFL.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Based on their underlying propensities and game dynamics, the New York Jets are anticipated by the projection model to run just 61.1 plays on offense in this game: the 5th-lowest number on the slate this week.

The New York Jets have called the fewest plays in football this year, totaling a lowly 49.5 plays per game.

Garrett Wilson has compiled far fewer air yards this season (82.0 per game) than he did last season (94.0 per game).

Garrett Wilson's pass-catching efficiency has worsened this year, averaging a measly 6.43 adjusted yards-per-target compared to a 7.63 rate last year.

With a poor 0.00 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) (1st percentile) this year, Garrett Wilson ranks as one of the best wide receivers in the game in the NFL in space.

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