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Garrett Wilson

Garrett Wilson Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 17

Cleveland Browns vs New York Jets

Garrett Wilson Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 51.5 (-140/+100).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 50.5 @ -120 before it was bet up to 51.5 @ -140.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Jets may throw the ball less in this contest (and call more carries) as a result of being be forced to start backup quarterback Trevor Siemian.

This week's line implies an extreme throwing game script for the Jets, who are huge -7-point underdogs.

Accounting for their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, the model projects the New York Jets to pass on 61.3% of their plays: the 7th-greatest rate among all teams this week.

Based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics, the Jets are predicted by the projection model to call 66.9 plays on offense in this contest: the 2nd-highest number among all teams this week.

Garrett Wilson has run fewer routes this year (97.9% Route% in games he has been on the field) than he did last year (86.4%).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Opposing offenses teams have been wary to lean on the pass against the Browns, totaling the 4th-fewest attempts in football (a measly 32.3 per game) this year.

In regards to protecting the passer (and the impact it has on all pass game metrics), the O-line of the Jets profiles as the 2nd-worst in football this year.

With a feeble 59.1% Adjusted Catch% (23rd percentile) this year, Garrett Wilson places as one of the worst possession receivers in football among wideouts.

Garrett Wilson's 6.6 adjusted yards per target this year conveys a significant regression in his pass-catching proficiency over last year's 7.6 rate.

Garrett Wilson is positioned as one of the bottom wideouts in football at picking up extra yardage, averaging a measly 0.00 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) this year while ranking in the 1st percentile.

More Garrett Wilson Player Props

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