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Garrett Wilson

Garrett Wilson Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 14

New York Jets vs Houston Texans

Garrett Wilson Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 54.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 57.5 @ -114 before it was bet down to 54.5 @ -110.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The New York Jets may rely on the pass game less in this contest (and call more carries) because they be starting backup QB Zach Wilson.

The New York Jets have a new play-caller this season in offensive coordinator Nathaniel Hackett, and our trusted projections expect their pass/run mix to skew 1.6% more towards passing than it did last season (context-neutralized).

A passing game script is suggested by the Jets being a -3-point underdog this week.

At a mere 27.04 seconds per snap, the Jets offense ranks as the 10th-fastest paced in the league (adjusted for context) this year.

Garrett Wilson's 97.6% Route Participation Rate this year conveys a material progression in his air attack volume over last year's 86.4% figure.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Windy weather conditions (like the 14-mph being called for in this game) generally lead to lessened passing effectiveness, reduced air volume, and higher ground volume.

When talking about pass protection (and the impact it has on all air attack metrics), the O-line of the Jets ranks as the 2nd-worst in the league this year.

Garrett Wilson rates as one of the most hard-handed receivers in the league, completing a mere 58.2% of passes thrown his way (adjusted for context) this year, checking in at the 18th percentile among wideouts

Garrett Wilson's 6.4 adjusted yards per target this season marks a meaningful decline in his pass-catching proficiency over last season's 7.6 mark.

Garrett Wilson ranks as one of the weakest wide receivers in the league at picking up extra yardage, averaging just 0.00 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) this year while grading out in the 1st percentile.

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