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Garrett Wilson

Garrett Wilson Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 4

Pittsburgh Steelers vs New York Jets

Garrett Wilson Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 45.5 (+115/-145).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 45.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 45.5 @ -145.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Jets are a 3-point underdog in this week's contest, likely creating a passing game script.

The Jets rank as the 8th-most pass-centric team in the league (context-neutralized) this year with a 67.9% pass rate.

THE BLITZ projects this game to see the largest volume of plays run on the slate this week at 138.5 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

THE BLITZ projects Garrett Wilson to total 7.4 targets this week, on average, placing him in the 82nd percentile among wide receivers.

Garrett Wilson has been heavily involved in his team's passing attack, earning a Target Share of 21.5% this year, which ranks him in the 80th percentile among wideouts.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Opposing QBs have averaged 33.0 pass attempts per game versus the Pittsburgh Steelers defense since the start of last season: 10th-least in the NFL.

The New York Jets offensive line profiles as the 9th-worst in the league since the start of last season in protecting the quarterback, which has a harmful effect on all air attack metrics across the board.

Garrett Wilson has been among the bottom WRs in football at generating extra yardage, averaging just 0.00 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) this year while checking in at the 1st percentile.

The Pittsburgh Steelers pass defense has excelled when opposing WRs have gotten into space, conceding an average of 5.50 yards-after-the-catch this year: the 9th-least in football.

The Pittsburgh Steelers linebackers grade out as the 6th-best group of LBs in the NFL since the start of last season in regard to rushing the passer.

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