Garrett Wilson Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 3

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NFL · Player Props

Garrett Wilson

WR · New York Jets

Receiving Yards

New York Jets vs Cincinnati Bengals · Week 3, 2022

Updated Sep 26, 2022 3:00 AM EST

Analysis

Garrett Wilson Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 50.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 46.5 @ -114 before it was bet up to 50.5 @ -110.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The New York Jets will be starting backup QB Joe Flacco in this week's contest, which typically means fewer pass attempts and more rushes.
The Jets are a 6.5-point underdog in this week's game, which points towards a passing game script.
THE BLITZ projects this game to see the 5th-largest volume of plays run among all games this week at 124.5 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
Opposing teams have averaged 37.9 pass attempts per game vs. the Cincinnati Bengals defense since the start of last season: 2nd-most in football.
THE BLITZ projects Garrett Wilson to earn 6.5 targets in this week's game, on average, putting him in the 81st percentile among WRs.

Favors Under

THE BLITZ projects the New York Jets as the 10th-least pass-centric team in football (in a neutral context) at the moment with a 60.5% pass rate.
The New York Jets offensive line ranks as the 10th-worst in the league since the start of last season in protecting the passer, which has a harmful effect on all pass attack metrics across the board.
Garrett Wilson has been among the most hard-handed receivers in the NFL, hauling in a measly 59.3% of balls thrown his way this year, grading out in the 24th percentile among wide receivers
Garrett Wilson has been among the weakest WRs in the league at picking up extra yardage, averaging a measly 0.00 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) this year while checking in at the 1st percentile.
The Cincinnati Bengals pass defense has been quite strong when opposing WRs have gotten into space, allowing an average of 3.65 yards-after-the-catch since the start of last season: the least in the NFL.