Garrett Wilson Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 17

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Garrett Wilson

NFL · Player Props

Garrett Wilson

WR · New York Jets

Receiving Yards

Seattle Seahawks vs New York Jets · Week 17, 2022

Updated Jan 1, 2023 8:46 PM UTC

Analysis

Garrett Wilson Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 65.5 (-135/+105).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 66.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 65.5 @ +105.

Key Factors

Favors Over

THE BLITZ projects the New York Jets to be the 9th-most pass-heavy team in the league (context-neutralized) right now with a 63.9% pass rate.
THE BLITZ projects this game to have the most plays run among all games this week at 135.3 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
The weatherman calls for 15-mph wind in this game. High wind usually means reduced pass volume (and increased run volume) and lessened passing effectiveness.
THE BLITZ projects Garrett Wilson to accrue 9.1 targets in this contest, on average, putting him in the 94th percentile among WRs.
Garrett Wilson has been a big part of his team's passing offense, garnering a Target Share of 23.0% this year, which places him in the 85th percentile among WRs.

Favors Under

Opposing offenses have averaged 32.5 pass attempts per game against the Seattle Seahawks defense this year: 5th-least in football.
The New York Jets O-line grades out as the 6th-worst in football this year in protecting the quarterback, which has a harmful effect on all passing offense stats across the board.
Garrett Wilson has been among the worst wideouts in the league at generating extra yardage, averaging a measly 0.00 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) this year while checking in at the 1st percentile.
The Seattle Seahawks defense has yielded the 3rd-least receiving yards per game in the league (just 123.0) to WRs this year.
The Seattle Seahawks pass defense has exhibited strong efficiency vs. WRs this year, yielding 7.52 yards-per-target to the position: the 6th-least in the NFL.

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