Garrett Wilson Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 16

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Garrett Wilson

NFL · Player Props

Garrett Wilson

WR · New York Jets

Receiving Yards

New York Jets vs Jacksonville Jaguars · Week 16, 2022

Updated Dec 23, 2022 1:16 AM UTC

Analysis

Garrett Wilson Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 55.5 (+110/-140).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 55.5 @ +100 before it was bet down to 55.5 @ -140.

Key Factors

Favors Over

THE BLITZ projects the Jets to call the 10th-most plays on offense on the slate this week with 66.4 plays, accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
Opposing QBs have averaged 36.6 pass attempts per game versus the Jacksonville Jaguars defense this year: 10th-most in the NFL.
THE BLITZ projects Garrett Wilson to earn 7.6 targets this week, on average, placing him in the 85th percentile among wideouts.
Garrett Wilson has been heavily involved in his team's passing offense, posting a Target Share of 23.0% this year, which ranks him in the 84th percentile among wide receivers.
Garrett Wilson has posted a monstrous 79.0 air yards per game this year: 86th percentile among wide receivers.

Favors Under

THE BLITZ projects the New York Jets to be the 9th-least pass-heavy team among all teams this week with a 52.9% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
The weatherman calls for 15-mph wind in this game. High wind usually means reduced pass volume (and increased run volume) and lessened passing efficiency.
The New York Jets O-line ranks as the 7th-worst in the league this year in protecting the QB, which has a negative impact on all passing attack stats across the board.
Garrett Wilson has been among the worst WRs in the NFL at generating extra yardage, averaging a mere 0.00 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) this year while grading out in the 1st percentile.
The Jacksonville Jaguars pass defense has yielded the 9th-lowest Completion% in the league (64.7%) vs. wide receivers this year (64.7%).

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