Garrett Wilson Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 13

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Garrett Wilson

NFL · Player Props

Garrett Wilson

WR · New York Jets

Receiving Yards

Minnesota Vikings vs New York Jets · Week 13, 2022

Updated Dec 5, 2022 12:46 AM UTC

Analysis

Garrett Wilson Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 61.5 (-110/-115).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 58.5 @ -130 before it was bet up to 61.5 @ -110.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The New York Jets will be forced to use backup QB Mike White in this game, which generally means fewer pass attempts and more rushes.
The Jets are a huge 7.5-point favorite in this week's game, which points towards an extreme rushing game script.
THE BLITZ projects this game to see the 3rd-highest volume of plays run among all games this week at 132.9 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
This game will be played in a dome—meaning zero wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and better passing efficiency.
Opposing teams have averaged 36.7 pass attempts per game versus the Minnesota Vikings defense this year: 9th-most in the league.

Favors Under

Garrett Wilson has been among the worst wideouts in the NFL at generating extra yardage, averaging a lowly 0.00 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) this year while ranking in the 1st percentile.
The New York Jets have gone up against a stacked the box on just 13.6% of their plays since the start of last season, 9th-least in football. Keeping an extra defender close to the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the cost of better passing efficiency.
The New York Jets have utilized play action on a mere 23.1% of their passing plays since the start of last season (8th-least in the league), creating a more one-dimensional offense that hurts passing production.

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