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Garrett Wilson
NFL · Player Props
Garrett Wilson
WR · New York Jets
Receiving Yards
New England Patriots vs New York Jets · Week 11, 2022 Updated Nov 20, 2022 8:21 PM UTC
NFL Props Garrett Wilson Receiving Yards

Garrett Wilson Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 54.5 (+104/-136).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 54.5 @ -130 before it was bet down to 54.5 @ -136.

Favors Over
  • The Jets are a heavy 10.5-point underdog this week, likely creating an extreme passing game script.
  • THE BLITZ projects this game to have the 4th-largest volume of plays run among all games this week at 132.8 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • Opposing QBs have averaged 38.1 pass attempts per game versus the New England Patriots defense this year: 6th-most in football.
  • THE BLITZ projects Garrett Wilson to earn 7.9 targets in this week's game, on average, placing him in the 86th percentile among wide receivers.
  • Garrett Wilson has been a big part of his team's passing offense, garnering a Target Share of 22.5% this year, which puts him in the 82nd percentile among WRs.
Favors Under
  • The forecast calls for 18-mph wind in this game. High wind generally means reduced pass volume (and increased run volume) and decreased passing efficiency.
  • The New York Jets offensive line ranks as the 4th-worst in football this year in protecting the quarterback, which has a harmful impact on all passing attack stats across the board.
  • Garrett Wilson has been among the bottom wide receivers in football at grinding out extra yardage, averaging a measly 0.00 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) this year while ranking in the 1st percentile.
  • The New England Patriots defense has given up the 9th-least receiving yards per game in football (just 143.0) vs. WRs this year.
  • The New England Patriots pass defense has surrendered the 3rd-lowest Completion% in the league (61.2%) vs. WRs this year (61.2%).
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